Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.047638 0.051825 0.056068 0.060684 0.065555 0.070537 0.076010
2025-06-15 0.041358 0.047519 0.053989 0.061265 0.069191 0.077537 0.086965
2025-06-22 0.036487 0.044033 0.052212 0.061676 0.072262 0.083680 0.096868
2025-06-29 0.032357 0.040870 0.050370 0.061644 0.074551 0.088761 0.105480
2025-07-06 0.030061 0.039508 0.050314 0.063417 0.078705 0.095816 0.116250
2025-07-13 0.026886 0.036808 0.048449 0.062868 0.080008 0.099500 0.123107
2025-07-20 0.024541 0.034896 0.047328 0.063026 0.081995 0.103868 0.130682
2025-07-27 0.022901 0.033707 0.046955 0.063968 0.084824 0.109161 0.139305
2025-08-03 0.021722 0.032999 0.047087 0.065457 0.088260 0.115149 0.148751
2025-08-10 0.019075 0.030186 0.044403 0.063296 0.087119 0.115569 0.151508
2025-08-17 0.017385 0.028527 0.043089 0.062761 0.087896 0.118235 0.156906
2025-08-24 0.015842 0.026959 0.041797 0.062164 0.088524 0.120667 0.161988
2025-08-31 0.015292 0.026783 0.042376 0.064045 0.092364 0.127165 0.172187
2025-09-07 0.014530 0.026252 0.042439 0.065229 0.095318 0.132591 0.181128
2025-09-14 0.013669 0.025514 0.042172 0.065940 0.097648 0.137241 0.189140
2025-09-21 0.012683 0.024518 0.041489 0.066044 0.099155 0.140844 0.195858
2025-09-28 0.012336 0.024480 0.042146 0.067970 0.103062 0.147510 0.206446
2025-10-05 0.011289 0.023266 0.041050 0.067426 0.103659 0.149932 0.211696
2025-10-12 0.010530 0.022458 0.040503 0.067607 0.105198 0.153549 0.218457
2025-10-19 0.010046 0.022070 0.040548 0.068603 0.107823 0.158570 0.227016
2025-10-26 0.009741 0.021960 0.040996 0.070169 0.111227 0.164621 0.236922
2025-11-02 0.008524 0.020189 0.038834 0.067903 0.109328 0.163694 0.237846
2025-11-09 0.007800 0.019228 0.037876 0.067342 0.109739 0.165778 0.242634